By Chris Hamilton
Given the Fed will complete it’s “taper” shortly…the topic of who has bought, who owns, and who will buy US Treasury debt seems important.
The 1st slide shows the four classes of US Treasury buyers. It shows who purchased what since ’00 cross referencing the blended interest rates on the Treasury curve. As yields have collapsed and the alternative markets (stocks, RE, corporate or junk bonds) have improved or offered more attractive returns…only the Fed and Foreigners have continued to accumulate Treasury’s. I included the Fed’s $667 Billion in Operation Twist long bond purchases (paid for from selling all their short paper) to show the power and magnitude of the Fed’s purchases since 2011…READ MORE
Is the Bernanke Put dead or alive? That is the most important question for the stock market today. And the reason is that all those bullish on the market firmly believe that Mr. Bernanke will stop this stock market from going down anytime soon. In other words without the Bernanke Put this stock market would [...]
Charles Biderman tells Joe Kernen he’s bullish for as long as companies keep reducing the number of shares outstanding. Also the US Stock Market Capitalization of $26.5 trillion is now 3.5 times $7.5 trillion in wages and salaries. Last two times this high March 2000 & Oct. 2007.
Biderman talks about his course Practices of Success being launched on Curious.com/charlesbiderman.
By Chris Hamilton
Once upon a time, there was a thing called a “free-market” and for a time nations strove toward this ideal. To wit, a free market economy was a market-based economy where prices for goods and services would be set freely by the forces of supply and demand and allowed to reach their point of equilibrium without intervention by government policy, and it typically entailed support for highly competitive markets and private ownership of productive enterprises. But power and belief shifted and faith now resides in governmental fiscal policy (spend more, tax less) and central banker interest rate policy (make money ever cheaper) to avoid the free markets down-cycles and extend its up-cycles infinitely. The central bank high priests have determined free markets are better replaced by command economies and further the priests’ purport they know appropriate levels of demand and supply…and absent the achievement of these levels, they will enforce their will even if the Fed’s programs are the likely cause that retards the Fed’s from achieving their stated goals! READ MORE
TrimTabs’ President and CEO Charles Biderman joined Pimm Fox and Carol Massar of Bloomberg on their “Taking Stock” podcast last week to talk about hedge fund investing. You can listen to the full audio here.
By Chris Hamilton
By any objective measure Reserve Currencies — particularly the US dollar — are dying. The question most analysts get when discussing the reality of the US and world economic/financial situations is, if things are so dire (***see dire links below ), why doesn’t it feel like it? If all the facts stated about $6 trillion annual (GAAP basis) US budget deficits or US government total debt and obligations in excess of $90 trillion are true, why does the system still “function”??? Social Security recipients receive checks, the military is still paid, the garbage gets picked up, and stores still have stocked shelves. Life seems hectic but generally “normal”. So, is there a problem at all and if so, when and how will it go from theoretical to reality?
There are many ways to look at the United States government debt, obligations, and assets. Liabilities include Treasury debt held by the public or more broadly total Treasury debt outstanding. There’s unfunded liabilities like Medicare and Social Security. And then the assets of all the real estate, all the equities, all the bonds, all the deposits…all at today’s valuations. But let’s cut straight to the bottom line and add it all up…$89.5 trillion in liabilities and $82 trillion in assets. There. It’s not a secret anymore…and although these are all government numbers, for some strange reason the government never adds them all together or explains them…but we will. READ MORE