Sausalito, CA – March 7, 2012. Trimtabs Investment Research estimates the U.S. economy added 149,000 jobs in February, down from its January estimate of 181,000. TrimTabs’ employment estimates are based on an analysis of daily income tax deposits to the U.S. Treasury from all salaried U.S. employees. They are historically more accurate than initial estimates from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics… Read More
Here are a couple of wild scenarios making the rounds in energy circles that could be in store for the nation’s roughly 200 million drivers. One calls for a run up at the pump to $5, $6, $7 or maybe even $10 a gallon. The other one, much more palatable, would be a 50-cent-a gallon drop to around the $3.25 level from the current national average of $3.76… Read More
The US stock market is up all of 1% or so since early February. I had thought that by now the stock market would have been selling off. That has obviously not happened. While insider selling is indeed surging, however, in February new stock buybacks were the most since in any one month since last September. Since stock buybacks are the only new source of money for the stock market, a pop in buyback activity says to me that stocks prices could to go higher over the next few weeks… Read More
The words vary, but we get the same questionable message from a lot of economists: Inflation is virtually non-existent.
That’s also the view of Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke, who told a recent Congressional hearing that inflation was relatively low and would remain that way throughout 2012 and 2013, probably below the Fed’s 2% target.
But just maybe the economic fraternity should take his words with a grain of salt since the fact of life is that sharply rising prices are everywhere despite his repeated assertions that inflation is subdued… Read More
The Biderman Market Theory says that in all markets there is the house and then there are the players. I have talked a lot about the house in the stock market casino on many of these videos, particularly that the house, the public companies, have an advantage over the players. I rarely talk about the players and perhaps I should. The key question should be: What separates the few that are long term successful from the majority who regularly lose? Read More
TrimTabs President & CEO Charles Biderman sits down with best-selling author and Managing Director of Absolute Investment Management Robert Wiedemer, as the two talk about what lies ahead for the economy.
It’s one of the biggest questions in sports, and a billion dollar-plus question at that. Who will buy the LA Dodgers? Even Billy Crystal raised the issue at the Academy Awards ceremony, quipping “Why don’t we chip in and buy the Dodgers?” Read More
Pollyanna is alive and well on Wall Street. What I mean by that is many on Wall Street want to believe that a stock market up by more than $9 trillion, or 100% from the March 2009 low, has to mean that the US economy is in a healthy long term recovery. Unfortunately, the Pollyannas are wrong. Their evidence of an improved labor market, higher corporate earnings and the return of the housing market are all based upon misleading data…Read More