For some, this economy is lots better. We keep hearing that an economic recovery is underway. Yet for those who don’t have lots of money in the stock market, there’s been no economic recovery. How many of you know that the market value of all US listed stocks right now is $18.7 trillion. Not only is that almost a double from the March 2009 low, but the gain itself is just over $9 trillion. Let me repeat, the value of all US stocks is up by over $9 trillion in three years. Wow… Read More
Managers More Bullish on S&P 500 In Survey Taken In Late January But TrimTabs Demand Indicators Point to Possible Stock Market Downturn.
New York, NY—February 6, 2012— BarclayHedge and TrimTabs Investment Research reported today that hedge funds redeemed an estimated $5.2 billion in December 2011 and underperformed the S&P 500 for the year. Industry assets fell to $1.64 trillion, down 7.7% for 2011, and hit their lowest level since February 2010… Read More
I seem to have hit a nerve with last Friday’s Daily Edge questioning the validity of the Bureau of Labor Statistics guess that 243,000 seasonally adjust jobs were created in January. To reiterate, withheld income and employment taxes paid to US Treasury daily indicate about a 1% nominal growth rate in wages and salaries. That is much too slow a growth grate to generate 243,000 new jobs… Read More
On Friday the January payroll report surprised everyone at 243,000 jobs. It was above the median of 140,000 jobs and outside the estimates of 95,000 to 225,000 jobs according to a survey of 89 economists by Bloomberg. Whenever a number surprises by this much, one wonders about special factors… Read More
The biggest headline for all financial media today is that the US economy added a much more than expected 243,000 jobs in January, and 446,000 jobs over the past two months. That is many more new jobs than our estimate of less than 50,000 for January and our estimate of 90,000 for December and January… Read More
I recommend buying silver as well as gold and both for the same reason. The US, Europe and Japan are all printing more and more new money to paper over ongoing budget deficits. Given that there is little chance that deficit spending will stop anytime soon, that’s why, I recommend buying both gold and silver on a dollar cost average basis… Read More
Weak Employment Growth Here to Stay due to Lackluster Demand and a Deleveraging Consumer More Intent on Saving Rather than Spending.
Sausalito, CA – February 1, 2012 – Sausalito, CA – The U.S. economy added only 45,000 jobs in January, nearly unchanged from the 38,000 jobs added in December, reports TrimTabs Investment Research.
“The weak job growth in January has us concerned,” says Madeline Schnapp, Director of Macroeconomic Research at TrimTabs. “It appears that the economy has hit stall speed due to lackluster demand and a deleveraging consumer who would rather save than spend.” Read More
Sometimes I feel like a one eyed man in the land of the blind. We track real time data and I ignore almost all government initial guesses as to employment and income, other than to laugh and chuckle. I get most frustrated these days when I watch a market strategists and economists on TV make bullish predictions going forward based upon recent government data… Read More
I continue to recommend buying gold on a dollar cost average basis. Gold is just beginning a long term bull run and most individuals are still not aboard this train. The Federal Reserve announced last week that this weak economy will force them to keep short-term interest rates exceptionally low until 2014. In addition, while there was no mention of QE3, I think it is almost certain that the Fed will add another round of quantitative easing (QE) sometime soon… Read More
Many of you viewers as well as many Wall Street professionals deep down inside believe that deficits do not really matter. We have almost always had deficita and we will almost always have deficits in the future. Big deal, deficits. The reality is that the US governments deficit is so big and will be getting much much bigger as we have to borrow more and more each year to pay ever increasing medicare, social security and government pensions and benefits… Read More