Posts Tagged ‘ Trading ’
Chris Hamilton: DEMOGRAPHICS – Likely the Trigger Event that Began the Great Recession…and the Reason it Won’t End Anytime Soon
WWII is still reshaping our economic reality. The massive global loss of life in WWII and its birth dearth during the war created a demographic hole (unusually high death / unusually low births over a 5 to 10 year period). The subsequent baby booms in the US and globally in Japan, Europe, and so many more locations which were affected by the war created a “pig in the python” moment. READ MORE
TrimTabs’ Charles Biderman went on CNBC with Rick Santelli to talk about the affect of zero interest rates around the world creating a global recession.
Below: Santelli and Harris discuss Biderman’s earlier comments.
Chris Hamilton: Is the Printing of the Japanese Yen the Poison Pill for Gold??? The More Yen Japan Prints, the Lower the Price of Gold…Until???
Yen weakness is relative dollar strength is gold weakness…or said otherwise in the land of the blind, the one eyed man is king. If the correlation hasn’t become obvious by now…the carry trade around the Yen and the BOJ’s plan to depreciate or bust seems to have rather outsized impacts across the market spectrum. My interest is the relationship of gold and the Yen. Seems the weakening of the Yen is driving the price of gold…down. Of course the Yen’s weakness is conversely the dollar’s relative strength…but from ’09 and particularly since Japan’s December 2012 turn to “Abenomics”, Gold and the Yen have moved tick for tick. The more Yen Japan prints, the farther the price of gold falls…ahhhh the irony that gold, the finite measuring stick of infinite currencies, seems now only to be measuring the depths TPTB will go to hide currencies relative worth!
My article “10,000 tons of gold…The math says China could have easily done it!” explains how it’s possible or even likely China has amassed 10,000+ tons of gold. What it doesn’t explain is the context as to why this is so important. I know some now this story well, but for most, this needs repeating. READ MORE
Since August ’11 to August of ’14, China has decreased its holdings of US Treasury debt by $9 Billion (according to the most recent TIC data)…while continuing to run record trade surpluses with the US. This means China will have (by year end 2014) taken in $951 Billion in shiny, new, digital dollars since 2011 and simultaneously sold or rolled off $9 Billion in US Treasury holdings…so China will have had to find a home for $960 Billion new dollars. 5 Comments
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Charles Biderman talks about his outlook for stock prices and buybacks with Marketwatch’s Chuck Jaffe