This week TrimTabs.com/blog will start carrying a table tracking US pre-tax and after tax income in real time. Our blog site will become the sole web source for US income. I am hoping that after-tax income replaces GDP as the best way of tracking the US economy. The only reason GDP is currently being used is that the US government in its infinite idiocy refuses to use available real-time data on income and instead relies upon a severely flawed methodology. GDP barely tracks 60% of the US economy, misses most of the service sector and is nowhere near real time. Read More
Over the past year since I started doing these videos, I have said many times that I expect the stock market to crash at some point in time, the only question is when. That does not mean I do not own and buy stocks. Yes, while my holdings include gold, inflation protected Treasuries and short positions, I am also long stocks and have been regularly buying. Read More
By Charles Biderman
There are two parts to the fiscal cliff equation. Government spending on services and taxes. Unfortunately almost all the discussion about how to fix the long term problem has been about taxes. Focusing on taxes to raise revenues to provide government services requires making a key assumption that governments can effectively provide services. But what if the real problem is that the US government by its nature is incapable of providing cost effective services? I say that government spending on services are not only cost ineffective but probably harmful to the overall economy. Read More
Hedge Fund Industry’s September Performance Lags S&P 500; Assets Down 25.8% Since Peak
European Funds Gain Most Assets in September; All 8 Global Regions Post Gains
New York, NY — November 13, 2012 — BarclayHedge and TrimTabs Investment Research reported today that the hedge fund industry took in $3.4 billion (0.2% of assets) in September, building on a $7.7 billion inflow in August. Based on data from 3,004 funds, the TrimTabs/BarclayHedge Hedge Fund Flow Report estimated that industry assets stood at $1.8 trillion in September, down 25.8% from the June 2008 peak of $2.4 trillion. Read More
By Charles Biderman
I officially declare that the Bernanke Put is dead and buried. Nobody even talks about it anymore. It has been a while since someone on CNBC said there is very little risk in being long stocks since Ben Bernanke has the stock market’s back. Read More
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Individual investors have been getting out of US equity mutual funds for most of this year. And the pace of outflows has been soaring recently. Outflows for all of 2012 now stand at $100 billion. Half of that, $50 billion, came out during the last three months. Flight from the funds is not a new trend. In fact, about $134 billion flowed out of equity mutual funds in 2011. ÊWhat’s really puzzling is that despite these heavy outflows, stock prices have gone up. Read More
Biderman’s Market Picks Available Now!
The TrimTabs Money Blog is pleased to announce the launch of Biderman’s Market Picks, a weekly video newsletter by Charles Biderman. This newsletter is designed to help you maximize long term investment gains while minimizing short term risks.
If you’re already a subscriber, please log in here. If you’re not a subscriber, you can buy single issues for just $10. For the next month, you can also buy an annual subscription for just $260, which is half off the regular price of $519.
Each weekly issue of Biderman’s Markets Picks has three parts. The first part covers what Charles is thinking about the stock market. The second part presents Charles’ views on the economy. The third part shows how Charles is investing a $100,000 model portfolio to try to profit from the information in the first two parts.
Put Charles’ insights to work in your portfolio right away! You can buy single issues for just $10 or buy an annual subscription for just $260.
I was on the Keynote Economic panel that ended this week’s annual Rutberg Wireless conference. At the conference, speaking directly before me were AOL CEO Tim Armstrong, who previously helped start Google; Jon Miller, formerly CEO of Fox Digital Media and Ross Levinsohn, former Yahoo CEO. Read More
After leaving New York last week, I was left with the overwhelming impression that most portfolio managers really believe stocks cannot go down. Why? Because portfolio managers have been fully trained to believe in the religious like School of What Works. And what has been working since 2009 is buying stocks regardless of anything and everything else. Read More